Prediction of Samir Hamza Reguig vs Yannik Kelm at M15 Luanda 11-14-25

• Both players have an identical success rate of 41.63% in winning points on their second serve over the past six months. Does this indicate an equal footing? Yes, in this aspect, they are evenly matched.
• In returning the opponent's second serve, Yannik Kelm has a slight edge, winning 50.54% of points compared to Samir Hamza Reguig's 47.07%. Could this give Kelm a crucial advantage? It potentially could, particularly in crucial return games.
• When it comes to returning first serves, Kelm again outperforms Reguig, albeit marginally, with stats of 31.62% against 30.38%.
• Their ability to save breakpoints is nearly the same, with Reguig at 45.52% and Kelm at 45.50%, showing that both players handle pressure similarly.
• Analyzing their match results over the past year, Kelm has won 57.89% of his matches, which is notably better than Reguig's 45.16% win rate. This hints at a stronger overall performance by Kelm.
• Reguig performs best on clay, winning 52% of matches, while Kelm's best surface is hard, with the same win percentage. Could the surface of an upcoming match affect the outcome? Yes, surface suitability can be a deciding factor.
• In the Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K tournaments, Kelm has a superior win rate of 57.89%, outperforming Reguig's 49.12%, suggesting Kelm is perhaps more adept at this level of competition.
• Yannik Kelm has faced a higher-ranked average opponent (194.46) compared to Reguig (309.03) in the last 12 months, which could reflect Kelm's experience against tougher competition.
• In terms of winning deciding sets, Reguig has a slight advantage with a 55% success rate over Kelm's 54%, a factor that could come into play if the match is closely contested.

Editorial Prediction (November 13, 2025, UTC):

As we analyze the matchup between Samir Hamza Reguig and Yannik Kelm, several key statistics emerge that could influence the outcome. Both players have shown equal proficiency in winning points on their second serve, but Kelm holds a slight edge in return games, which could prove pivotal.

Yannik Kelm's recent form demonstrates a stronger overall performance with a higher win percentage over the past year, and his experience facing higher-ranked opponents may provide an additional advantage in handling challenging situations.

Although Reguig shows resilience in deciding sets and might benefit from a match played on clay, the overall statistical analysis and recent trends suggest that Yannik Kelm is the likely winner in this upcoming match.